Wildfire risk forecasting provides critical insights into future weather and fire danger scenarios.
A new risk forecast is produced daily with a 100+ hour horizon. Risk metrics are calculated every 1-3 hours for the entire forecast period.
FireCast integrates advanced weather forecasts with WFA FireSim modeling to perform hundreds of millions of fire simulations daily to derive both current, and near-term risk forecasts for customer service territories and critical assets. New forecasts are derived daily, sometimes twice a day, to provide accurate and timely analysis of possible wildfire events..
Baseline risk and consequence metrics are derived identifying population, buildings and critical facilities that may be impacted. For electric utility customers, risk metrics are calculated hourly for infrastructure assets to support possible PSPS de-energization analysis, as well as EOC activation, stakeholder and public notification, and resource allocation and deployment.
Advanced analysis is undertaken to estimate the number of buildings destroyed or severely damaged if a wildfire were to occur. This advanced analysis leverages the rich historical data repository developed by Technosylva employed in Machine Learning models to accurately analyze potential building loss.
Monitoring your weather scenarios and wildfire risk with risk metrics tailored to your business
FireCast’s outputs provide the foundation for risk analysis, through enhanced consequence modeling to quantify safety, financial and reliability metrics consistent with enterprise risk management methods. For electrical utility, risk metrics are assigned back to potential asset ignition sources identifying which assets are of most concern, in what areas. The integration of fire spread modeling provides information not readily available in the past, and is a key ingredient for distinguishing those assets prime for de-energization or mitigation. For wildfire management agencies, risk forecasts identify people, assets and critical facilities at risk providing the information necessary for resource prioritization and response planning.Get a Demo